{"id":4310,"date":"2026-07-21T09:29:34","date_gmt":"2026-07-21T09:29:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/?p=4310"},"modified":"2026-07-21T09:29:34","modified_gmt":"2026-07-21T09:29:34","slug":"terna-proof-of-concept-for-mapping-flood-hazard-across-the-italian-national-transmission-grid","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/en\/terna-proof-of-concept-for-mapping-flood-hazard-across-the-italian-national-transmission-grid\/","title":{"rendered":"Terna \u2013 Proof of Concept for Mapping Flood Hazard across the Italian National Transmission Grid"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-4311 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1966\" height=\"763\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng.png 1966w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng-300x116.png 300w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng-1024x397.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng-768x298.png 768w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/grafico20terna20eng-1536x596.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1966px) 100vw, 1966px\" \/><\/h2>\n<h2>The context<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.terna.it\/en\">Terna<\/a> is the operator of the Italian National Transmission Grid, one of the largest in Europe. Listed on the FTSE MIB index, it manages approximately <strong>76,000 km of high- and extra-high-voltage power lines and hundreds of substations,<\/strong> ensuring the security, continuity and quality of the country\u2019s electricity service.<\/p>\n<p>In 2024, Terna tested Eoliann\u2019s predictive models, based on artificial intelligence and satellite data, with the aim of creating <strong>a more comprehensive and consistent flood hazard map.<\/strong> This was an essential step in identifying the areas of the grid most exposed to risk and targeting resilience measures more effectively.<\/p>\n<p>Although <strong>the maps produced by Italy\u2019s River Basin Authorities remain the official reference, they cover only 39% of the country in terms of water-depth data,<\/strong> with information that is often inconsistent across districts. The maps produced by the European Commission\u2019s Joint Research Centre offer broader coverage, but exclude smaller catchments and lack the resolution required to accurately capture local features such as flood defence structures.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Against this backdrop, Terna launched a Proof of Concept with Eoliann as part of the \u201cData Science for Resilience\u201d Innovation Bootcamp, to develop an approach capable of overcoming the limitations of existing sources.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>The project<\/h2>\n<p>The project, completed in March 2024, was jointly developed by Terna and Eoliann using a twofold approach: <strong>two-dimensional numerical hydraulic simulations,<\/strong> designed to generate physically accurate maps, and the application of the <strong>Airis Flood machine-learning model,<\/strong> to assess whether the analysis could be extended to a national scale.<\/p>\n<p>Terna selected <strong>three pilot areas in Piedmont,<\/strong> each centred around a substation affected by documented flood events in previous years. This made it possible to compare the project\u2019s results with high-quality observational data provided by ARPA Piemonte.<\/p>\n<h3>1. Two-dimensional numerical hydraulic simulations<\/h3>\n<p>For each area, Eoliann developed <strong>two-dimensional hydrological and hydraulic simulations<\/strong> using only Earth observation data, including a digital terrain model, precipitation, land cover and the hydrographic network.<\/p>\n<p>The simulations produced water-depth and water-velocity maps at <strong>a spatial resolution of 30 metres for three return periods<\/strong> &#8211; 20, 100 and 200 years &#8211; in line with the relevant regulatory framework.<\/p>\n<h3>2. Validation against observed events and official sources<\/h3>\n<p>The results were systematically assessed against <strong>three independent sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>observations from real flood events provided by ARPA Piemonte;<\/li>\n<li>maps produced by the Po River Basin Authority;<\/li>\n<li>maps produced by the European Commission\u2019s Joint Research Centre.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This made it possible to measure not only the quality of the simulations, but also their added value compared with the tools already available.<\/p>\n<h3>3. Application of the Airis Flood AI model<\/h3>\n<p>Airis Flood, Eoliann\u2019s machine-learning model for estimating water depth, was then applied to the same areas. The model is already operational at European scale.<\/p>\n<p>It combines geomorphological, climatic and urban variables to provide a continuous and consistent view of flood hazard at a spatial resolution of 30 metres, addressing the main gaps in public data sources.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-4312 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-scaled.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1748\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-scaled.png 2560w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-300x205.png 300w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-1024x699.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-768x525.png 768w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-1536x1049.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Risorsa2010-2048x1399.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><!-- Insert image here --><\/p>\n<p><em>Comparison between the extent of the observed flood event and the simulated water-depth map.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>The results<\/h2>\n<p>The project produced water-depth maps for the three pilot areas and the three return periods considered, validating them against both observed flood events and the main official sources.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The results confirmed the reliability of the hydraulic models.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Water-velocity estimation<\/h3>\n<p>The hydraulic simulations generated <strong>water-velocity maps,<\/strong> a variable that is not currently provided by public sources but is essential for assessing risk to transmission towers and substations.<\/p>\n<h3>Validation against observed events<\/h3>\n<p>When compared with the extent of flood events documented by ARPA Piemonte, the hydraulic simulations showed<strong> a good level of consistency,<\/strong> producing overall reliable results in representing the areas affected.<\/p>\n<h3>Scalability of the approach<\/h3>\n<p>The machine-learning model tested as part of the Proof of Concept made it possible to explore the extension of the analysis beyond the pilot areas and the development of <strong>a more consistent view of flood hazard at national scale.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>Complete coverage<\/h3>\n<p>Unlike public data sources, Eoliann\u2019s model provides <strong>continuous territorial coverage, with estimated flood extents at a spatial resolution of 30 metres.<\/strong> This makes it possible to overcome both coverage gaps and inconsistencies in official sources.<\/p>\n<h2>Why it matters<\/h2>\n<p>The project with Terna shows that strengthening the resilience of a national grid begins with <strong>making its risk easier to interpret through consistent, continuous and usable data.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Only when hazard is measured consistently and through its most relevant physical variables does it become possible to understand where to intervene, which assets to prioritise and what action to take.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Want to put Airis to the test on your assets? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eoliann.com\/en\/book-a-demo\/\">Request a demo!<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The context Terna is the operator of the Italian National Transmission Grid, one of the largest in Europe. Listed on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":4309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-case-studies"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Terna: Mapping Flood Risk Across the Power Grid<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Proof of Concept developed by Terna and Eoliann to assess flood risk across three areas of the power grid in Piedmont.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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